We simulated Al Kholood vs Al-Qadsiah 100,000 times. Al-Qadsiah won 61,026 of them (61%), the draw came up 20.4% of the time and Al Kholood won 18.6%. The most likely score is 1-2 (9.7%), and both teams score in 56.1% of simulations.
| Al Kholood win | 18.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.4% |
| Al-Qadsiah win | 61% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (9.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.05 – 2.08 |
| Both teams to score | 56.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.1% |
| Al Kholood score first | 31.7% |
| Al-Qadsiah score first | 64% |
| Al Kholood clean sheet | 12.9% |
| Al-Qadsiah clean sheet | 35.4% |
Al Fateh
Al Ahli
1.1–2.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Al Nassr
Al Diraiyah FC
2.1–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Al Hazm
NEOM SC
1.0–1.7
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Al Ettifaq
Al Khaleej
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Al Hilal
Al Ittihad
2.6–1.0
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Al-Fayha
Al Riyadh
1.5–1.3
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Abha
Al Faisaly
1.4–1.1
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Al Shabab
Al Taawoun
1.7–1.5
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420635976 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al-Qadsiah are favourites. They win 61% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.4% for the draw and 18.6% for Al Kholood. Including the draw, Al-Qadsiah avoid defeat 81.4% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 9.7% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.1% of simulations. Al Kholood keep a clean sheet 12.9% of the time and Al-Qadsiah 35.4%.
The simulations average 3.13 goals: 1.05 for Al Kholood and 2.08 for Al-Qadsiah. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.1% and over 3.5 goals 38.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
