We simulated Al Hazm vs NEOM SC 100,000 times. NEOM SC won 53,212 of them (53.2%), the draw came up 23.6% of the time and Al Hazm won 23.2%. The most likely score is 0-1 (11.5%), and both teams score in 51.4% of simulations.
| Al Hazm win | 23.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.6% |
| NEOM SC win | 53.2% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (11.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.02 – 1.69 |
| Both teams to score | 51.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.9% |
| Al Hazm score first | 36.9% |
| NEOM SC score first | 56.3% |
| Al Hazm clean sheet | 18.8% |
| NEOM SC clean sheet | 36.4% |
Al Kholood
Al-Qadsiah
1.1–2.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Al Fateh
Al Ahli
1.1–2.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Al Nassr
Al Diraiyah FC
2.1–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Al Ettifaq
Al Khaleej
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Al Hilal
Al Ittihad
2.6–1.0
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Al-Fayha
Al Riyadh
1.5–1.3
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Abha
Al Faisaly
1.4–1.1
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Al Shabab
Al Taawoun
1.7–1.5
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420636051 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
NEOM SC are favourites. They win 53.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.6% for the draw and 23.2% for Al Hazm. Including the draw, NEOM SC avoid defeat 76.9% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 11.5% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.4% of simulations. Al Hazm keep a clean sheet 18.8% of the time and NEOM SC 36.4%.
The simulations average 2.71 goals: 1.02 for Al Hazm and 1.69 for NEOM SC. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.7% and over 3.5 goals 28.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
