We simulated Al Nassr vs Al Diraiyah FC 100,000 times. Al Nassr won 59,928 of them (59.9%), the draw came up 19.7% of the time and Al Diraiyah FC won 20.4%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.6%), and both teams score in 58.8% of simulations.
| Al Nassr win | 59.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.7% |
| Al Diraiyah FC win | 20.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.12 – 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | 58.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.9% |
| Al Nassr score first | 56% |
| Al Diraiyah FC score first | 40.3% |
| Al Nassr clean sheet | 32.4% |
| Al Diraiyah FC clean sheet | 12.5% |
Al Kholood
Al-Qadsiah
1.1–2.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Al Fateh
Al Ahli
1.1–2.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Al Hazm
NEOM SC
1.0–1.7
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Al Ettifaq
Al Khaleej
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Al Hilal
Al Ittihad
2.6–1.0
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Al-Fayha
Al Riyadh
1.5–1.3
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Abha
Al Faisaly
1.4–1.1
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Al Shabab
Al Taawoun
1.7–1.5
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420636034 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Nassr are favourites. They win 59.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.7% for the draw and 20.4% for Al Diraiyah FC. Including the draw, Al Nassr avoid defeat 79.6% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.8% of simulations. Al Nassr keep a clean sheet 32.4% of the time and Al Diraiyah FC 12.5%.
The simulations average 3.25 goals: 2.12 for Al Nassr and 1.14 for Al Diraiyah FC. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.8% and over 3.5 goals 40.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
