We simulated Al Fateh vs Al Ahli 100,000 times. Al Ahli won 60,202 of them (60.2%), the draw came up 20.4% of the time and Al Fateh won 19.4%. The most likely score is 1-2 (9.6%), and both teams score in 59% of simulations.
| Al Fateh win | 19.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.4% |
| Al Ahli win | 60.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.12 – 2.14 |
| Both teams to score | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.1% |
| Al Fateh score first | 36.6% |
| Al Ahli score first | 59.3% |
| Al Fateh clean sheet | 12.3% |
| Al Ahli clean sheet | 32.9% |
Al Kholood
Al-Qadsiah
1.1–2.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Al Nassr
Al Diraiyah FC
2.1–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Al Hazm
NEOM SC
1.0–1.7
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Al Ettifaq
Al Khaleej
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Al Hilal
Al Ittihad
2.6–1.0
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Al-Fayha
Al Riyadh
1.5–1.3
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Abha
Al Faisaly
1.4–1.1
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Al Shabab
Al Taawoun
1.7–1.5
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420636040 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Ahli are favourites. They win 60.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.4% for the draw and 19.4% for Al Fateh. Including the draw, Al Ahli avoid defeat 80.6% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59% of simulations. Al Fateh keep a clean sheet 12.3% of the time and Al Ahli 32.9%.
The simulations average 3.26 goals: 1.12 for Al Fateh and 2.14 for Al Ahli. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.9% and over 3.5 goals 41.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
