We simulated Al Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej 100,000 times. Al Ettifaq won 46,658 of them (46.7%), the draw came up 26.2% of the time and Al Khaleej won 27.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest Al Ettifaq win is 2-1 (9.2%). Both teams score in 55.9% of simulations.
| Al Ettifaq win | 46.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.2% |
| Al Khaleej win | 27.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.62 – 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | 55.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.9% |
| Al Ettifaq score first | 53% |
| Al Khaleej score first | 40.2% |
| Al Ettifaq clean sheet | 31% |
| Al Khaleej clean sheet | 20.2% |
Al Kholood
Al-Qadsiah
1.1–2.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Al Fateh
Al Ahli
1.1–2.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Al Nassr
Al Diraiyah FC
2.1–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Al Hazm
NEOM SC
1.0–1.7
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Al Hilal
Al Ittihad
2.6–1.0
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Al-Fayha
Al Riyadh
1.5–1.3
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Abha
Al Faisaly
1.4–1.1
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Al Shabab
Al Taawoun
1.7–1.5
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420635980 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Ettifaq are favourites. They win 46.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.2% for the draw and 27.2% for Al Khaleej. Including the draw, Al Ettifaq avoid defeat 72.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest Al Ettifaq win is 2-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.9% of simulations. Al Ettifaq keep a clean sheet 31% of the time and Al Khaleej 20.2%.
The simulations average 2.80 goals: 1.62 for Al Ettifaq and 1.18 for Al Khaleej. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.9% and over 3.5 goals 30.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
