We simulated Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad 100,000 times. Al Hilal won 70,514 of them (70.5%), the draw came up 16.4% of the time and Al Ittihad won 13.1%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.1%), and both teams score in 59.1% of simulations.
| Al Hilal win | 70.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.4% |
| Al Ittihad win | 13.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.1%) |
| Expected goals | 2.60 – 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | 59.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 48.8% |
| Al Hilal score first | 70.6% |
| Al Ittihad score first | 26.6% |
| Al Hilal clean sheet | 36% |
| Al Ittihad clean sheet | 7.9% |
Al Kholood
Al-Qadsiah
1.1–2.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Al Fateh
Al Ahli
1.1–2.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Al Nassr
Al Diraiyah FC
2.1–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Al Hazm
NEOM SC
1.0–1.7
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Al Ettifaq
Al Khaleej
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Al-Fayha
Al Riyadh
1.5–1.3
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Abha
Al Faisaly
1.4–1.1
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Al Shabab
Al Taawoun
1.7–1.5
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420636134 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Hilal are favourites. They win 70.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.4% for the draw and 13.1% for Al Ittihad. Including the draw, Al Hilal avoid defeat 86.9% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.1% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (8.9%) and 3-1 (7.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.1% of simulations. Al Hilal keep a clean sheet 36% of the time and Al Ittihad 7.9%.
The simulations average 3.63 goals: 2.60 for Al Hilal and 1.03 for Al Ittihad. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 69.7% and over 3.5 goals 48.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
