We simulated AC Milan vs Atalanta 100,000 times. AC Milan won 51,320 of them (51.3%), the draw came up 25.6% of the time and Atalanta won 23.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12%, while the likeliest AC Milan win is 2-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 55.4% of simulations.
| AC Milan win | 51.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.6% |
| Atalanta win | 23.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 1.74 – 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | 55.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.7% |
| AC Milan score first | 54.2% |
| Atalanta score first | 38.7% |
| AC Milan clean sheet | 33.7% |
| Atalanta clean sheet | 18% |
Frosinone
Sassuolo
1.8–1.5
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Venezia
Napoli
1.2–1.9
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Bologna
Inter
1.1–2.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Roma
Genoa
2.2–0.8
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Lecce
1.5–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Fiorentina
Como
1.3–1.6
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Juventus
Lazio
1.7–0.9
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Monza
Cagliari
1.4–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668932 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
AC Milan are favourites. They win 51.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.6% for the draw and 23.1% for Atalanta. Including the draw, AC Milan avoid defeat 76.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest AC Milan win is 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.4% of simulations. AC Milan keep a clean sheet 33.7% of the time and Atalanta 18%.
The simulations average 2.84 goals: 1.74 for AC Milan and 1.10 for Atalanta. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.8% and over 3.5 goals 31.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
