We simulated Udinese vs Lecce 100,000 times. Udinese won 48,490 of them (48.5%), the draw came up 27.6% of the time and Lecce won 23.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Udinese win is 1-0 (12.2%). Both teams score in 48.1% of simulations.
| Udinese win | 48.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.6% |
| Lecce win | 23.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.48 – 0.96 |
| Both teams to score | 48.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.2% |
| Udinese score first | 58.6% |
| Lecce score first | 31.7% |
| Udinese clean sheet | 38.5% |
| Lecce clean sheet | 23.1% |
Frosinone
Sassuolo
1.8–1.5
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Venezia
Napoli
1.2–1.9
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Bologna
Inter
1.1–2.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Roma
Genoa
2.2–0.8
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Fiorentina
Como
1.3–1.6
xG
57%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Atalanta
1.7–1.1
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Juventus
Lazio
1.7–0.9
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Monza
Cagliari
1.4–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668980 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Udinese are favourites. They win 48.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.6% for the draw and 23.9% for Lecce. Including the draw, Udinese avoid defeat 76.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.2%) and 0-0 (9.6%). The likeliest Udinese win is 1-0 (12.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48.1% of simulations. Udinese keep a clean sheet 38.5% of the time and Lecce 23.1%.
The simulations average 2.45 goals: 1.48 for Udinese and 0.96 for Lecce. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.2% and over 3.5 goals 23.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
