We simulated Venezia vs Napoli 100,000 times. Napoli won 54,472 of them (54.5%), the draw came up 22.3% of the time and Venezia won 23.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.2%, while the likeliest Napoli win is 1-2 (9.6%). Both teams score in 58.7% of simulations.
| Venezia win | 23.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.3% |
| Napoli win | 54.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.18 – 1.92 |
| Both teams to score | 58.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.6% |
| Venezia score first | 36.9% |
| Napoli score first | 58.3% |
| Venezia clean sheet | 15% |
| Napoli clean sheet | 31.1% |
Frosinone
Sassuolo
1.8–1.5
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Bologna
Inter
1.1–2.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Roma
Genoa
2.2–0.8
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Lecce
1.5–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Fiorentina
Como
1.3–1.6
xG
57%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Atalanta
1.7–1.1
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Juventus
Lazio
1.7–0.9
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Monza
Cagliari
1.4–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669042 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Napoli are favourites. They win 54.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.3% for the draw and 23.2% for Venezia. Including the draw, Napoli avoid defeat 76.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.6%). The likeliest Napoli win is 1-2 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.7% of simulations. Venezia keep a clean sheet 15% of the time and Napoli 31.1%.
The simulations average 3.10 goals: 1.18 for Venezia and 1.92 for Napoli. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.6% and over 3.5 goals 37.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
