We simulated Bologna vs Inter 100,000 times. Inter won 56,839 of them (56.8%), the draw came up 24.2% of the time and Bologna won 19%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.3%, while the likeliest Inter win is 1-2 (9.7%). Both teams score in 56.8% of simulations.
| Bologna win | 19% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.2% |
| Inter win | 56.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.06 – 1.96 |
| Both teams to score | 56.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.7% |
| Bologna score first | 36.7% |
| Inter score first | 57.1% |
| Bologna clean sheet | 14.5% |
| Inter clean sheet | 35% |
Frosinone
Sassuolo
1.8–1.5
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Venezia
Napoli
1.2–1.9
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Roma
Genoa
2.2–0.8
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Lecce
1.5–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Fiorentina
Como
1.3–1.6
xG
57%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Atalanta
1.7–1.1
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Juventus
Lazio
1.7–0.9
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Monza
Cagliari
1.4–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668927 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Inter are favourites. They win 56.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.2% for the draw and 19% for Bologna. Including the draw, Inter avoid defeat 81% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest Inter win is 1-2 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.8% of simulations. Bologna keep a clean sheet 14.5% of the time and Inter 35%.
The simulations average 3.02 goals: 1.06 for Bologna and 1.96 for Inter. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.8% and over 3.5 goals 35.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
