We simulated Roma vs Genoa 100,000 times. Roma won 68,333 of them (68.3%), the draw came up 18.7% of the time and Genoa won 13%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.9%), and both teams score in 48.6% of simulations.
| Roma win | 68.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.7% |
| Genoa win | 13% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.17 – 0.81 |
| Both teams to score | 48.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.8% |
| Roma score first | 68.6% |
| Genoa score first | 26% |
| Roma clean sheet | 44.8% |
| Genoa clean sheet | 11.8% |
Frosinone
Sassuolo
1.8–1.5
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Venezia
Napoli
1.2–1.9
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Bologna
Inter
1.1–2.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Lecce
1.5–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Fiorentina
Como
1.3–1.6
xG
57%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Atalanta
1.7–1.1
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Juventus
Lazio
1.7–0.9
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Monza
Cagliari
1.4–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668835 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Roma are favourites. They win 68.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.7% for the draw and 13% for Genoa. Including the draw, Roma avoid defeat 87% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48.6% of simulations. Roma keep a clean sheet 44.8% of the time and Genoa 11.8%.
The simulations average 2.98 goals: 2.17 for Roma and 0.81 for Genoa. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.9% and over 3.5 goals 34.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
