We simulated Fiorentina vs Como 100,000 times. Como won 42,920 of them (42.9%), the draw came up 25.9% of the time and Fiorentina won 31.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12%, while the likeliest Como win is 1-2 (8.9%). Both teams score in 59.5% of simulations.
| Fiorentina win | 31.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.9% |
| Como win | 42.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 1.34 – 1.61 |
| Both teams to score | 59.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.3% |
| Fiorentina score first | 42.3% |
| Como score first | 51.2% |
| Fiorentina clean sheet | 20.4% |
| Como clean sheet | 26.5% |
Frosinone
Sassuolo
1.8–1.5
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Venezia
Napoli
1.2–1.9
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Bologna
Inter
1.1–2.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Roma
Genoa
2.2–0.8
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Lecce
1.5–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Atalanta
1.7–1.1
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Juventus
Lazio
1.7–0.9
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Monza
Cagliari
1.4–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668936 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Como are favourites. They win 42.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.9% for the draw and 31.2% for Fiorentina. Including the draw, Como avoid defeat 68.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (7.6%). The likeliest Como win is 1-2 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.5% of simulations. Fiorentina keep a clean sheet 20.4% of the time and Como 26.5%.
The simulations average 2.96 goals: 1.34 for Fiorentina and 1.61 for Como. Over 1.5 goals lands 80% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.5% and over 3.5 goals 34.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
