We simulated Juventus vs Lazio 100,000 times. Juventus won 55,715 of them (55.7%), the draw came up 25.2% of the time and Lazio won 19.1%. The most likely score is 1-0 (12.6%), and both teams score in 47.5% of simulations.
| Juventus win | 55.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.2% |
| Lazio win | 19.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (12.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.68 – 0.87 |
| Both teams to score | 47.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.5% |
| Juventus score first | 57.5% |
| Lazio score first | 33.8% |
| Juventus clean sheet | 42% |
| Lazio clean sheet | 19.1% |
Frosinone
Sassuolo
1.8–1.5
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Venezia
Napoli
1.2–1.9
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Bologna
Inter
1.1–2.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Roma
Genoa
2.2–0.8
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Lecce
1.5–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Fiorentina
Como
1.3–1.6
xG
57%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Atalanta
1.7–1.1
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Monza
Cagliari
1.4–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668933 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Juventus are favourites. They win 55.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.2% for the draw and 19.1% for Lazio. Including the draw, Juventus avoid defeat 80.9% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 12.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (11.8%) and 2-0 (10.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.5% of simulations. Juventus keep a clean sheet 42% of the time and Lazio 19.1%.
The simulations average 2.55 goals: 1.68 for Juventus and 0.87 for Lazio. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.8% and over 3.5 goals 25.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
