We simulated AC Milan vs Bologna 100,000 times. AC Milan won 51,489 of them (51.5%), the draw came up 26.6% of the time and Bologna won 21.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest AC Milan win is 1-0 (12.4%). Both teams score in 47.9% of simulations.
| AC Milan win | 51.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.6% |
| Bologna win | 21.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.56 – 0.93 |
| Both teams to score | 47.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.1% |
| AC Milan score first | 54.8% |
| Bologna score first | 35.8% |
| AC Milan clean sheet | 39.9% |
| Bologna clean sheet | 21.3% |
Venezia
Inter
1.1–2.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Parma
Udinese
1.3–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Monza
Napoli
1.2–1.8
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Genoa
Juventus
0.8–1.5
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Frosinone
Lecce
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1.7–1.4
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Bologna
Monza
1.7–1.1
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Roma
0.9–2.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669065 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
AC Milan are favourites. They win 51.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.6% for the draw and 21.9% for Bologna. Including the draw, AC Milan avoid defeat 78.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.4%) and 2-0 (10.1%). The likeliest AC Milan win is 1-0 (12.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.9% of simulations. AC Milan keep a clean sheet 39.9% of the time and Bologna 21.3%.
The simulations average 2.49 goals: 1.56 for AC Milan and 0.93 for Bologna. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45.2% and over 3.5 goals 24.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
