We simulated Monza vs Napoli 100,000 times. Napoli won 50,346 of them (50.4%), the draw came up 24.5% of the time and Monza won 25.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.4%, while the likeliest Napoli win is 1-2 (9.5%). Both teams score in 58.5% of simulations.
| Monza win | 25.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.5% |
| Napoli win | 50.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.21 – 1.79 |
| Both teams to score | 58.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.2% |
| Monza score first | 32.9% |
| Napoli score first | 61.2% |
| Monza clean sheet | 17.1% |
| Napoli clean sheet | 30.3% |
Venezia
Inter
1.1–2.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Bologna
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Parma
Udinese
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Genoa
Juventus
0.8–1.5
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Frosinone
Lecce
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1.7–1.4
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Bologna
Monza
1.7–1.1
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Roma
0.9–2.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668995 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Napoli are favourites. They win 50.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.5% for the draw and 25.2% for Monza. Including the draw, Napoli avoid defeat 74.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.4% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-1 (8.3%). The likeliest Napoli win is 1-2 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.5% of simulations. Monza keep a clean sheet 17.1% of the time and Napoli 30.3%.
The simulations average 3.00 goals: 1.21 for Monza and 1.79 for Napoli. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.4% and over 3.5 goals 35.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
