We simulated Frosinone vs Lecce 100,000 times. Frosinone won 53,373 of them (53.4%), the draw came up 24% of the time and Lecce won 22.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest Frosinone win is 2-1 (9.4%). Both teams score in 63.8% of simulations.
| Frosinone win | 53.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24% |
| Lecce win | 22.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.7%) |
| Expected goals | 2.04 – 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | 63.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.6% |
| Frosinone score first | 61.2% |
| Lecce score first | 33.8% |
| Frosinone clean sheet | 28% |
| Lecce clean sheet | 13.4% |
Venezia
Inter
1.1–2.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Bologna
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Parma
Udinese
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Monza
Napoli
1.2–1.8
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Genoa
Juventus
0.8–1.5
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1.7–1.4
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Bologna
Monza
1.7–1.1
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Roma
0.9–2.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668941 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Frosinone are favourites. They win 53.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24% for the draw and 22.6% for Lecce. Including the draw, Frosinone avoid defeat 77.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Frosinone win is 2-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63.8% of simulations. Frosinone keep a clean sheet 28% of the time and Lecce 13.4%.
The simulations average 3.33 goals: 2.04 for Frosinone and 1.29 for Lecce. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.4% and over 3.5 goals 42.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
