We simulated Bologna vs Monza 100,000 times. Bologna won 51,059 of them (51.1%), the draw came up 24.9% of the time and Monza won 24.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.7%, while the likeliest Bologna win is 1-0 (9.5%). Both teams score in 55.3% of simulations.
| Bologna win | 51.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.9% |
| Monza win | 24.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.73 – 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | 55.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.8% |
| Bologna score first | 62.5% |
| Monza score first | 31.2% |
| Bologna clean sheet | 33.1% |
| Monza clean sheet | 18.2% |
Venezia
Inter
1.1–2.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Bologna
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Parma
Udinese
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Monza
Napoli
1.2–1.8
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Genoa
Juventus
0.8–1.5
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Frosinone
Lecce
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1.7–1.4
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Roma
0.9–2.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669006 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Bologna are favourites. They win 51.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.9% for the draw and 24.1% for Monza. Including the draw, Bologna avoid defeat 75.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.7% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest Bologna win is 1-0 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.3% of simulations. Bologna keep a clean sheet 33.1% of the time and Monza 18.2%.
The simulations average 2.84 goals: 1.73 for Bologna and 1.11 for Monza. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.9% and over 3.5 goals 31.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
