We simulated Fiorentina vs Atalanta 100,000 times. Fiorentina won 41,728 of them (41.7%), the draw came up 26.1% of the time and Atalanta won 32.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.9%, while the likeliest Fiorentina win is 2-1 (8.8%). Both teams score in 62.6% of simulations.
| Fiorentina win | 41.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.1% |
| Atalanta win | 32.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.66 – 1.44 |
| Both teams to score | 62.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.7% |
| Fiorentina score first | 48% |
| Atalanta score first | 46.1% |
| Fiorentina clean sheet | 24% |
| Atalanta clean sheet | 19.3% |
Venezia
Inter
1.1–2.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Bologna
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Parma
Udinese
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Monza
Napoli
1.2–1.8
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Genoa
Juventus
0.8–1.5
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Frosinone
Lecce
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Bologna
Monza
1.7–1.1
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Roma
0.9–2.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669062 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Fiorentina are favourites. They win 41.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.1% for the draw and 32.2% for Atalanta. Including the draw, Fiorentina avoid defeat 67.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Fiorentina win is 2-1 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.6% of simulations. Fiorentina keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and Atalanta 19.3%.
The simulations average 3.11 goals: 1.66 for Fiorentina and 1.44 for Atalanta. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.8% and over 3.5 goals 37.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
