We simulated Udinese vs Roma 100,000 times. Roma won 60,950 of them (61%), the draw came up 22% of the time and Udinese won 17.1%. The most likely score is 0-2 (10.5%), and both teams score in 52.6% of simulations.
| Udinese win | 17.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22% |
| Roma win | 61% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (10.5%) |
| Expected goals | 0.94 – 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | 52.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.7% |
| Udinese score first | 32.1% |
| Roma score first | 62% |
| Udinese clean sheet | 14.2% |
| Roma clean sheet | 39.2% |
Venezia
Inter
1.1–2.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Bologna
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Parma
Udinese
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Monza
Napoli
1.2–1.8
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Genoa
Juventus
0.8–1.5
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Frosinone
Lecce
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1.7–1.4
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Bologna
Monza
1.7–1.1
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668918 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Roma are favourites. They win 61% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22% for the draw and 17.1% for Udinese. Including the draw, Roma avoid defeat 82.9% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 10.5% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (10.3%) and 0-1 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.6% of simulations. Udinese keep a clean sheet 14.2% of the time and Roma 39.2%.
The simulations average 2.93 goals: 0.94 for Udinese and 1.98 for Roma. Over 1.5 goals lands 79% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.8% and over 3.5 goals 33.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
