We simulated Genoa vs Juventus 100,000 times. Juventus won 52,292 of them (52.3%), the draw came up 27.6% of the time and Genoa won 20.1%. The most likely score is 0-1 (14.2%), and both teams score in 43.5% of simulations.
| Genoa win | 20.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.6% |
| Juventus win | 52.3% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (14.2%) |
| Expected goals | 0.82 – 1.49 |
| Both teams to score | 43.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.3% |
| Genoa score first | 33.9% |
| Juventus score first | 55.4% |
| Genoa clean sheet | 22.9% |
| Juventus clean sheet | 44.4% |
Venezia
Inter
1.1–2.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Bologna
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Parma
Udinese
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Monza
Napoli
1.2–1.8
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Frosinone
Lecce
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1.7–1.4
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Bologna
Monza
1.7–1.1
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Roma
0.9–2.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668999 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Juventus are favourites. They win 52.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.6% for the draw and 20.1% for Genoa. Including the draw, Juventus avoid defeat 79.9% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 14.2% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (12.6%) and 0-2 (11%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 43.5% of simulations. Genoa keep a clean sheet 22.9% of the time and Juventus 44.4%.
The simulations average 2.31 goals: 0.82 for Genoa and 1.49 for Juventus. Over 1.5 goals lands 67.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 40.5% and over 3.5 goals 20.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
