We simulated Parma vs Udinese 100,000 times. Parma won 38,061 of them (38.1%), the draw came up 29.7% of the time and Udinese won 32.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.1%, while the likeliest Parma win is 1-0 (8.6%). Both teams score in 53.6% of simulations.
| Parma win | 38.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29.7% |
| Udinese win | 32.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.35 – 1.23 |
| Both teams to score | 53.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.1% |
| Parma score first | 43.4% |
| Udinese score first | 47.5% |
| Parma clean sheet | 29.6% |
| Udinese clean sheet | 26.2% |
Venezia
Inter
1.1–2.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Bologna
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Monza
Napoli
1.2–1.8
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Genoa
Juventus
0.8–1.5
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Frosinone
Lecce
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1.7–1.4
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Bologna
Monza
1.7–1.1
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Roma
0.9–2.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669124 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Parma are favourites. They win 38.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.7% for the draw and 32.2% for Udinese. Including the draw, Parma avoid defeat 67.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.1% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Parma win is 1-0 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.6% of simulations. Parma keep a clean sheet 29.6% of the time and Udinese 26.2%.
The simulations average 2.58 goals: 1.35 for Parma and 1.23 for Udinese. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.6% and over 3.5 goals 26.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
