We simulated Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham 100,000 times. Accrington Stanley won 45,735 of them (45.7%), the draw came up 24.7% of the time and Gillingham won 29.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.6%, while the likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 1-0 (10.3%). Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
| Accrington Stanley win | 45.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.7% |
| Gillingham win | 29.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.55 – 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | 54% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.4% |
| Accrington Stanley score first | 53.4% |
| Gillingham score first | 39.9% |
| Accrington Stanley clean sheet | 30.8% |
| Gillingham clean sheet | 21.7% |
Shrewsbury Town
Bristol Rovers
1.2–1.3
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town
Rotherham United
1.5–1.1
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Chesterfield
1.4–1.3
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Crewe Alexandra
Rochdale
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Tranmere Rovers
Barnet
1.3–1.6
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Newport County
York City
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Swindon Town
Walsall
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Oldham Athletic
Cheltenham Town
1.9–1.0
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646868 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Accrington Stanley are favourites. They win 45.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.7% for the draw and 29.6% for Gillingham. Including the draw, Accrington Stanley avoid defeat 70.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.6% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 1-0 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54% of simulations. Accrington Stanley keep a clean sheet 30.8% of the time and Gillingham 21.7%.
The simulations average 2.73 goals: 1.55 for Accrington Stanley and 1.19 for Gillingham. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.3% and over 3.5 goals 29.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
