We simulated Newport County vs York City 100,000 times. York City won 45,217 of them (45.2%), the draw came up 25.2% of the time and Newport County won 29.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.8%, while the likeliest York City win is 1-2 (9.1%). Both teams score in 57% of simulations.
| Newport County win | 29.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.2% |
| York City win | 45.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.25 – 1.61 |
| Both teams to score | 57% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.2% |
| Newport County score first | 44.4% |
| York City score first | 49.1% |
| Newport County clean sheet | 20.4% |
| York City clean sheet | 28.9% |
Shrewsbury Town
Bristol Rovers
1.2–1.3
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town
Rotherham United
1.5–1.1
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Chesterfield
1.4–1.3
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Crewe Alexandra
Rochdale
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Tranmere Rovers
Barnet
1.3–1.6
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Swindon Town
Walsall
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Oldham Athletic
Cheltenham Town
1.9–1.0
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Grimsby Town
Northampton Town
1.9–0.9
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646570 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
York City are favourites. They win 45.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.2% for the draw and 29.6% for Newport County. Including the draw, York City avoid defeat 70.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.8% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest York City win is 1-2 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57% of simulations. Newport County keep a clean sheet 20.4% of the time and York City 28.9%.
The simulations average 2.86 goals: 1.25 for Newport County and 1.61 for York City. Over 1.5 goals lands 78% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.3% and over 3.5 goals 32.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
