We simulated Tranmere Rovers vs Barnet 100,000 times. Barnet won 43,683 of them (43.7%), the draw came up 26.4% of the time and Tranmere Rovers won 29.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest Barnet win is 1-2 (9%). Both teams score in 59.4% of simulations.
| Tranmere Rovers win | 29.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.4% |
| Barnet win | 43.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.32 – 1.63 |
| Both teams to score | 59.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.1% |
| Tranmere Rovers score first | 42.4% |
| Barnet score first | 50.9% |
| Tranmere Rovers clean sheet | 20% |
| Barnet clean sheet | 27.2% |
Shrewsbury Town
Bristol Rovers
1.2–1.3
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town
Rotherham United
1.5–1.1
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Chesterfield
1.4–1.3
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Crewe Alexandra
Rochdale
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Newport County
York City
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Swindon Town
Walsall
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Oldham Athletic
Cheltenham Town
1.9–1.0
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Grimsby Town
Northampton Town
1.9–0.9
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646561 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Barnet are favourites. They win 43.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.4% for the draw and 29.9% for Tranmere Rovers. Including the draw, Barnet avoid defeat 70.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9%) and 0-1 (7.5%). The likeliest Barnet win is 1-2 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.4% of simulations. Tranmere Rovers keep a clean sheet 20% of the time and Barnet 27.2%.
The simulations average 2.95 goals: 1.32 for Tranmere Rovers and 1.63 for Barnet. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.3% and over 3.5 goals 34.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
