We simulated Grimsby Town vs Northampton Town 100,000 times. Grimsby Town won 59,713 of them (59.7%), the draw came up 22.7% of the time and Northampton Town won 17.6%. The most likely score is 1-0 (12%), and both teams score in 49% of simulations.
| Grimsby Town win | 59.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.7% |
| Northampton Town win | 17.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 1.85 – 0.88 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.2% |
| Grimsby Town score first | 62.6% |
| Northampton Town score first | 30.4% |
| Grimsby Town clean sheet | 41.7% |
| Northampton Town clean sheet | 16.2% |
Shrewsbury Town
Bristol Rovers
1.2–1.3
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town
Rotherham United
1.5–1.1
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Chesterfield
1.4–1.3
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Crewe Alexandra
Rochdale
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Tranmere Rovers
Barnet
1.3–1.6
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Newport County
York City
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Swindon Town
Walsall
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Oldham Athletic
Cheltenham Town
1.9–1.0
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646811 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Grimsby Town are favourites. They win 59.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.7% for the draw and 17.6% for Northampton Town. Including the draw, Grimsby Town avoid defeat 82.5% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (11.1%) and 1-1 (10.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49% of simulations. Grimsby Town keep a clean sheet 41.7% of the time and Northampton Town 16.2%.
The simulations average 2.73 goals: 1.85 for Grimsby Town and 0.88 for Northampton Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.1% and over 3.5 goals 29.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
