We simulated ADO Den Haag vs PSV 100,000 times. PSV won 72,708 of them (72.7%), the draw came up 14.7% of the time and ADO Den Haag won 12.6%. The most likely score is 1-2 (8.4%), and both teams score in 63.3% of simulations.
| ADO Den Haag win | 12.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 14.7% |
| PSV win | 72.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (8.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.13 – 2.87 |
| Both teams to score | 63.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 56.3% |
| ADO Den Haag score first | 31.1% |
| PSV score first | 66.8% |
| ADO Den Haag clean sheet | 6% |
| PSV clean sheet | 32.5% |
SC Heerenveen
Excelsior
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Telstar
Feyenoord
1.1–2.9
xG
74%
Over 2.5
Sparta Rotterdam
Willem II
2.1–1.3
xG
65%
Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles
1.3–2.0
xG
65%
Over 2.5
SC Cambuur
AZ Alkmaar
1.2–2.5
xG
71%
Over 2.5
FC Groningen
Ajax
1.3–2.3
xG
70%
Over 2.5
FC Twente
FC Utrecht
2.5–1.0
xG
68%
Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
2.2–1.3
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609657 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
PSV are favourites. They win 72.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 14.7% for the draw and 12.6% for ADO Den Haag. Including the draw, PSV avoid defeat 87.4% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 8.4% of simulations. Next are 1-3 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63.3% of simulations. ADO Den Haag keep a clean sheet 6% of the time and PSV 32.5%.
The simulations average 4.00 goals: 1.13 for ADO Den Haag and 2.87 for PSV. Over 1.5 goals lands 90.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 75.7% and over 3.5 goals 56.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
