We simulated Telstar vs Feyenoord 100,000 times. Feyenoord won 73,385 of them (73.4%), the draw came up 15.9% of the time and Telstar won 10.7%. The most likely score is 1-2 (8.5%), and both teams score in 61.2% of simulations.
| Telstar win | 10.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 15.9% |
| Feyenoord win | 73.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (8.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.05 – 2.85 |
| Both teams to score | 61.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 54.2% |
| Telstar score first | 26.8% |
| Feyenoord score first | 70.5% |
| Telstar clean sheet | 6.2% |
| Feyenoord clean sheet | 35.4% |
SC Heerenveen
Excelsior
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
ADO Den Haag
PSV
1.1–2.9
xG
76%
Over 2.5
Sparta Rotterdam
Willem II
2.1–1.3
xG
65%
Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles
1.3–2.0
xG
65%
Over 2.5
SC Cambuur
AZ Alkmaar
1.2–2.5
xG
71%
Over 2.5
FC Groningen
Ajax
1.3–2.3
xG
70%
Over 2.5
FC Twente
FC Utrecht
2.5–1.0
xG
68%
Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
2.2–1.3
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609667 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Feyenoord are favourites. They win 73.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.9% for the draw and 10.7% for Telstar. Including the draw, Feyenoord avoid defeat 89.3% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 8.5% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-3 (8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.2% of simulations. Telstar keep a clean sheet 6.2% of the time and Feyenoord 35.4%.
The simulations average 3.89 goals: 1.05 for Telstar and 2.85 for Feyenoord. Over 1.5 goals lands 90.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 74.1% and over 3.5 goals 54.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
