We simulated FC Twente vs FC Utrecht 100,000 times. FC Twente won 71,070 of them (71.1%), the draw came up 16.6% of the time and FC Utrecht won 12.4%. The most likely score is 2-0 (9.7%), and both teams score in 56.5% of simulations.
| FC Twente win | 71.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.6% |
| FC Utrecht win | 12.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (9.7%) |
| Expected goals | 2.54 – 0.96 |
| Both teams to score | 56.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 46.2% |
| FC Twente score first | 69.7% |
| FC Utrecht score first | 27% |
| FC Twente clean sheet | 38.5% |
| FC Utrecht clean sheet | 8.3% |
SC Heerenveen
Excelsior
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
ADO Den Haag
PSV
1.1–2.9
xG
76%
Over 2.5
Telstar
Feyenoord
1.1–2.9
xG
74%
Over 2.5
Sparta Rotterdam
Willem II
2.1–1.3
xG
65%
Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles
1.3–2.0
xG
65%
Over 2.5
SC Cambuur
AZ Alkmaar
1.2–2.5
xG
71%
Over 2.5
FC Groningen
Ajax
1.3–2.3
xG
70%
Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
2.2–1.3
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609656 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Twente are favourites. They win 71.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.6% for the draw and 12.4% for FC Utrecht. Including the draw, FC Twente avoid defeat 87.7% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 9.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.5% of simulations. FC Twente keep a clean sheet 38.5% of the time and FC Utrecht 8.3%.
The simulations average 3.50 goals: 2.54 for FC Twente and 0.96 for FC Utrecht. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67.5% and over 3.5 goals 46.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
