We simulated FC Groningen vs Ajax 100,000 times. Ajax won 59,741 of them (59.7%), the draw came up 20.2% of the time and FC Groningen won 20.1%. The most likely score is 1-2 (9.2%), and both teams score in 65.5% of simulations.
| FC Groningen win | 20.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.2% |
| Ajax win | 59.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (9.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.30 – 2.33 |
| Both teams to score | 65.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 48.8% |
| FC Groningen score first | 38.1% |
| Ajax score first | 58.4% |
| FC Groningen clean sheet | 10.2% |
| Ajax clean sheet | 27.7% |
SC Heerenveen
Excelsior
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
ADO Den Haag
PSV
1.1–2.9
xG
76%
Over 2.5
Telstar
Feyenoord
1.1–2.9
xG
74%
Over 2.5
Sparta Rotterdam
Willem II
2.1–1.3
xG
65%
Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles
1.3–2.0
xG
65%
Over 2.5
SC Cambuur
AZ Alkmaar
1.2–2.5
xG
71%
Over 2.5
FC Twente
FC Utrecht
2.5–1.0
xG
68%
Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
2.2–1.3
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609712 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Ajax are favourites. They win 59.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.2% for the draw and 20.1% for FC Groningen. Including the draw, Ajax avoid defeat 79.9% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 9.2% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.5% of simulations. FC Groningen keep a clean sheet 10.2% of the time and Ajax 27.7%.
The simulations average 3.63 goals: 1.30 for FC Groningen and 2.33 for Ajax. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 69.8% and over 3.5 goals 48.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
