We simulated SC Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar 100,000 times. AZ Alkmaar won 66,425 of them (66.4%), the draw came up 17.6% of the time and SC Cambuur won 16%. The most likely score is 1-2 (9.1%), and both teams score in 63% of simulations.
| SC Cambuur win | 16% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.6% |
| AZ Alkmaar win | 66.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (9.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.17 – 2.53 |
| Both teams to score | 63% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 50.4% |
| SC Cambuur score first | 30.3% |
| AZ Alkmaar score first | 66.9% |
| SC Cambuur clean sheet | 8.4% |
| AZ Alkmaar clean sheet | 31.3% |
SC Heerenveen
Excelsior
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
ADO Den Haag
PSV
1.1–2.9
xG
76%
Over 2.5
Telstar
Feyenoord
1.1–2.9
xG
74%
Over 2.5
Sparta Rotterdam
Willem II
2.1–1.3
xG
65%
Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles
1.3–2.0
xG
65%
Over 2.5
FC Groningen
Ajax
1.3–2.3
xG
70%
Over 2.5
FC Twente
FC Utrecht
2.5–1.0
xG
68%
Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
2.2–1.3
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609705 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
AZ Alkmaar are favourites. They win 66.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.6% for the draw and 16% for SC Cambuur. Including the draw, AZ Alkmaar avoid defeat 84% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 9.1% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (7.9%) and 1-3 (7.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63% of simulations. SC Cambuur keep a clean sheet 8.4% of the time and AZ Alkmaar 31.3%.
The simulations average 3.70 goals: 1.17 for SC Cambuur and 2.53 for AZ Alkmaar. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 71% and over 3.5 goals 50.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
