We simulated SC Heerenveen vs Excelsior 100,000 times. SC Heerenveen won 52,570 of them (52.6%), the draw came up 24.2% of the time and Excelsior won 23.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.8%, while the likeliest SC Heerenveen win is 2-1 (9.4%). Both teams score in 63.9% of simulations.
| SC Heerenveen win | 52.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.2% |
| Excelsior win | 23.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.8%) |
| Expected goals | 2.02 – 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | 63.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.4% |
| SC Heerenveen score first | 58.2% |
| Excelsior score first | 36.7% |
| SC Heerenveen clean sheet | 27.6% |
| Excelsior clean sheet | 13.7% |
ADO Den Haag
PSV
1.1–2.9
xG
76%
Over 2.5
Telstar
Feyenoord
1.1–2.9
xG
74%
Over 2.5
Sparta Rotterdam
Willem II
2.1–1.3
xG
65%
Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles
1.3–2.0
xG
65%
Over 2.5
SC Cambuur
AZ Alkmaar
1.2–2.5
xG
71%
Over 2.5
FC Groningen
Ajax
1.3–2.3
xG
70%
Over 2.5
FC Twente
FC Utrecht
2.5–1.0
xG
68%
Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
2.2–1.3
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609671 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
SC Heerenveen are favourites. They win 52.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.2% for the draw and 23.3% for Excelsior. Including the draw, SC Heerenveen avoid defeat 76.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest SC Heerenveen win is 2-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63.9% of simulations. SC Heerenveen keep a clean sheet 27.6% of the time and Excelsior 13.7%.
The simulations average 3.33 goals: 2.02 for SC Heerenveen and 1.30 for Excelsior. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.2% and over 3.5 goals 42.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
