We simulated Angers SCO vs Olympique Marseille 100,000 times. Olympique Marseille won 42,382 of them (42.4%), the draw came up 25.5% of the time and Angers SCO won 32.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.6%, while the likeliest Olympique Marseille win is 1-2 (8.8%). Both teams score in 61.5% of simulations.
| Angers SCO win | 32.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.5% |
| Olympique Marseille win | 42.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.42 – 1.65 |
| Both teams to score | 61.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.8% |
| Angers SCO score first | 42.4% |
| Olympique Marseille score first | 52% |
| Angers SCO clean sheet | 19.6% |
| Olympique Marseille clean sheet | 24.7% |
Le Mans
Toulouse
1.5–1.5
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Strasbourg
Paris Saint Germain
1.2–2.5
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Troyes
Lens
1.3–1.8
xG
61%
Over 2.5
LOSC Lille
Brest
1.8–1.2
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Le Havre
Auxerre
1.5–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Paris
Rennes
1.7–1.3
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Lorient
Monaco
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Nice
1.9–1.0
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660880 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Olympique Marseille are favourites. They win 42.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.5% for the draw and 32.1% for Angers SCO. Including the draw, Olympique Marseille avoid defeat 67.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.6% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.8%) and 2-1 (7.6%). The likeliest Olympique Marseille win is 1-2 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.5% of simulations. Angers SCO keep a clean sheet 19.6% of the time and Olympique Marseille 24.7%.
The simulations average 3.07 goals: 1.42 for Angers SCO and 1.65 for Olympique Marseille. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.9% and over 3.5 goals 36.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
