We simulated Paris vs Rennes 100,000 times. Paris won 44,704 of them (44.7%), the draw came up 28.9% of the time and Rennes won 26.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.5%, while the likeliest Paris win is 2-1 (9.2%). Both teams score in 60.1% of simulations.
| Paris win | 44.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.9% |
| Rennes win | 26.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.68 – 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | 60.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.9% |
| Paris score first | 50.9% |
| Rennes score first | 41% |
| Paris clean sheet | 28.8% |
| Rennes clean sheet | 19.1% |
Le Mans
Toulouse
1.5–1.5
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Strasbourg
Paris Saint Germain
1.2–2.5
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Troyes
Lens
1.3–1.8
xG
61%
Over 2.5
LOSC Lille
Brest
1.8–1.2
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Angers SCO
Olympique Marseille
1.4–1.7
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Le Havre
Auxerre
1.5–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Lorient
Monaco
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Nice
1.9–1.0
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660796 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Paris are favourites. They win 44.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.9% for the draw and 26.4% for Rennes. Including the draw, Paris avoid defeat 73.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.2%) and 0-0 (8%). The likeliest Paris win is 2-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.1% of simulations. Paris keep a clean sheet 28.8% of the time and Rennes 19.1%.
The simulations average 2.94 goals: 1.68 for Paris and 1.26 for Rennes. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56% and over 3.5 goals 33.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
