We simulated Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain 100,000 times. Paris Saint Germain won 65,519 of them (65.5%), the draw came up 17.9% of the time and Strasbourg won 16.6%. The most likely score is 1-2 (9.1%), and both teams score in 63.6% of simulations.
| Strasbourg win | 16.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.9% |
| Paris Saint Germain win | 65.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (9.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.19 – 2.51 |
| Both teams to score | 63.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 50.4% |
| Strasbourg score first | 31.3% |
| Paris Saint Germain score first | 65.9% |
| Strasbourg clean sheet | 8.5% |
| Paris Saint Germain clean sheet | 30.6% |
Le Mans
Toulouse
1.5–1.5
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Troyes
Lens
1.3–1.8
xG
61%
Over 2.5
LOSC Lille
Brest
1.8–1.2
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Angers SCO
Olympique Marseille
1.4–1.7
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Le Havre
Auxerre
1.5–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Paris
Rennes
1.7–1.3
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Lorient
Monaco
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Nice
1.9–1.0
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660882 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Paris Saint Germain are favourites. They win 65.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.9% for the draw and 16.6% for Strasbourg. Including the draw, Paris Saint Germain avoid defeat 83.5% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 9.1% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (7.7%) and 1-1 (7.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63.6% of simulations. Strasbourg keep a clean sheet 8.5% of the time and Paris Saint Germain 30.6%.
The simulations average 3.70 goals: 1.19 for Strasbourg and 2.51 for Paris Saint Germain. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 71.1% and over 3.5 goals 50.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
