We simulated Le Mans vs Toulouse 100,000 times. Toulouse won 37,556 of them (37.6%), the draw came up 26.1% of the time and Le Mans won 36.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.1%, while the likeliest Toulouse win is 1-2 (8.3%). Both teams score in 60.2% of simulations.
| Le Mans win | 36.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.1% |
| Toulouse win | 37.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.47 – 1.50 |
| Both teams to score | 60.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.8% |
| Le Mans score first | 48.7% |
| Toulouse score first | 45.1% |
| Le Mans clean sheet | 22.7% |
| Toulouse clean sheet | 23.3% |
Strasbourg
Paris Saint Germain
1.2–2.5
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Troyes
Lens
1.3–1.8
xG
61%
Over 2.5
LOSC Lille
Brest
1.8–1.2
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Angers SCO
Olympique Marseille
1.4–1.7
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Le Havre
Auxerre
1.5–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Paris
Rennes
1.7–1.3
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Lorient
Monaco
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Nice
1.9–1.0
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660797 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Toulouse are favourites. They win 37.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.1% for the draw and 36.3% for Le Mans. Including the draw, Toulouse avoid defeat 63.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.3%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest Toulouse win is 1-2 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.2% of simulations. Le Mans keep a clean sheet 22.7% of the time and Toulouse 23.3%.
The simulations average 2.98 goals: 1.47 for Le Mans and 1.50 for Toulouse. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.9% and over 3.5 goals 34.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
