We simulated Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice 100,000 times. Olympique Lyonnais won 58,829 of them (58.8%), the draw came up 22.9% of the time and Nice won 18.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.8%, while the likeliest Olympique Lyonnais win is 1-0 (10.2%). Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
| Olympique Lyonnais win | 58.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.9% |
| Nice win | 18.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.92 – 0.97 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.9% |
| Olympique Lyonnais score first | 63.2% |
| Nice score first | 30.6% |
| Olympique Lyonnais clean sheet | 38.2% |
| Nice clean sheet | 15.1% |
Le Mans
Toulouse
1.5–1.5
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Strasbourg
Paris Saint Germain
1.2–2.5
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Troyes
Lens
1.3–1.8
xG
61%
Over 2.5
LOSC Lille
Brest
1.8–1.2
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Angers SCO
Olympique Marseille
1.4–1.7
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Le Havre
Auxerre
1.5–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Paris
Rennes
1.7–1.3
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Lorient
Monaco
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660787 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Olympique Lyonnais are favourites. They win 58.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.9% for the draw and 18.3% for Nice. Including the draw, Olympique Lyonnais avoid defeat 81.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-0 (10.2%). The likeliest Olympique Lyonnais win is 1-0 (10.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53% of simulations. Olympique Lyonnais keep a clean sheet 38.2% of the time and Nice 15.1%.
The simulations average 2.89 goals: 1.92 for Olympique Lyonnais and 0.97 for Nice. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.9% and over 3.5 goals 32.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
