We simulated Lorient vs Monaco 100,000 times. Monaco won 42,480 of them (42.5%), the draw came up 28.6% of the time and Lorient won 29%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.5%, while the likeliest Monaco win is 0-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 54.6% of simulations.
| Lorient win | 29% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.6% |
| Monaco win | 42.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.19 – 1.48 |
| Both teams to score | 54.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.9% |
| Lorient score first | 37.3% |
| Monaco score first | 54.1% |
| Lorient clean sheet | 23.2% |
| Monaco clean sheet | 30.9% |
Le Mans
Toulouse
1.5–1.5
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Strasbourg
Paris Saint Germain
1.2–2.5
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Troyes
Lens
1.3–1.8
xG
61%
Over 2.5
LOSC Lille
Brest
1.8–1.2
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Angers SCO
Olympique Marseille
1.4–1.7
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Le Havre
Auxerre
1.5–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Paris
Rennes
1.7–1.3
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Nice
1.9–1.0
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660874 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Monaco are favourites. They win 42.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.6% for the draw and 29% for Lorient. Including the draw, Monaco avoid defeat 71% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (8.9%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Monaco win is 0-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.6% of simulations. Lorient keep a clean sheet 23.2% of the time and Monaco 30.9%.
The simulations average 2.67 goals: 1.19 for Lorient and 1.48 for Monaco. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.6% and over 3.5 goals 27.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
