We simulated Troyes vs Lens 100,000 times. Lens won 47,796 of them (47.8%), the draw came up 24.2% of the time and Troyes won 28%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.9%, while the likeliest Lens win is 1-2 (9.2%). Both teams score in 61.8% of simulations.
| Troyes win | 28% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.2% |
| Lens win | 47.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.34 – 1.81 |
| Both teams to score | 61.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.6% |
| Troyes score first | 43.1% |
| Lens score first | 52% |
| Troyes clean sheet | 16.8% |
| Lens clean sheet | 26.6% |
Le Mans
Toulouse
1.5–1.5
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Strasbourg
Paris Saint Germain
1.2–2.5
xG
71%
Over 2.5
LOSC Lille
Brest
1.8–1.2
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Angers SCO
Olympique Marseille
1.4–1.7
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Le Havre
Auxerre
1.5–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Paris
Rennes
1.7–1.3
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Lorient
Monaco
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Nice
1.9–1.0
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660788 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Lens are favourites. They win 47.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.2% for the draw and 28% for Troyes. Including the draw, Lens avoid defeat 72% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Lens win is 1-2 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.8% of simulations. Troyes keep a clean sheet 16.8% of the time and Lens 26.6%.
The simulations average 3.15 goals: 1.34 for Troyes and 1.81 for Lens. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.7% and over 3.5 goals 38.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
