We simulated LOSC Lille vs Brest 100,000 times. LOSC Lille won 51,938 of them (51.9%), the draw came up 23.9% of the time and Brest won 24.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest LOSC Lille win is 2-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations.
| LOSC Lille win | 51.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.9% |
| Brest win | 24.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.82 – 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | 57.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% |
| LOSC Lille score first | 57.9% |
| Brest score first | 36.3% |
| LOSC Lille clean sheet | 31.4% |
| Brest clean sheet | 16.7% |
Le Mans
Toulouse
1.5–1.5
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Strasbourg
Paris Saint Germain
1.2–2.5
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Troyes
Lens
1.3–1.8
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Angers SCO
Olympique Marseille
1.4–1.7
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Le Havre
Auxerre
1.5–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Paris
Rennes
1.7–1.3
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Lorient
Monaco
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Nice
1.9–1.0
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660795 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
LOSC Lille are favourites. They win 51.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.9% for the draw and 24.2% for Brest. Including the draw, LOSC Lille avoid defeat 75.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest LOSC Lille win is 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations. LOSC Lille keep a clean sheet 31.4% of the time and Brest 16.7%.
The simulations average 2.99 goals: 1.82 for LOSC Lille and 1.17 for Brest. Over 1.5 goals lands 80% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.1% and over 3.5 goals 35%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
