We simulated Austin vs Real Salt Lake 100,000 times. Real Salt Lake won 37,874 of them (37.9%), the draw came up 25.7% of the time and Austin won 36.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.9%, while the likeliest Real Salt Lake win is 1-2 (8.3%). Both teams score in 59.7% of simulations.
| Austin win | 36.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.7% |
| Real Salt Lake win | 37.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.46 – 1.49 |
| Both teams to score | 59.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.3% |
| Austin score first | 47.3% |
| Real Salt Lake score first | 46.8% |
| Austin clean sheet | 22.8% |
| Real Salt Lake clean sheet | 23.6% |
Toronto
DC United
2.0–1.3
xG
65%
Over 2.5
New York City
Atlanta United
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
Cincinnati
2.6–1.4
xG
75%
Over 2.5
New England
New York RB
2.0–1.4
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Charlotte
CF Montréal
2.3–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Dallas
Columbus Crew
1.9–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Orlando City
2.7–1.4
xG
78%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Portland Timbers
2.1–1.3
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420509978 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Real Salt Lake are favourites. They win 37.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.7% for the draw and 36.4% for Austin. Including the draw, Real Salt Lake avoid defeat 63.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.3%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win is 1-2 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.7% of simulations. Austin keep a clean sheet 22.8% of the time and Real Salt Lake 23.6%.
The simulations average 2.96 goals: 1.46 for Austin and 1.49 for Real Salt Lake. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.5% and over 3.5 goals 34.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
