We simulated New England vs New York RB 100,000 times. New England won 50,464 of them (50.5%), the draw came up 23.2% of the time and New York RB won 26.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.1%, while the likeliest New England win is 2-1 (9.2%). Both teams score in 65.3% of simulations.
| New England win | 50.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.2% |
| New York RB win | 26.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.99 – 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | 65.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.9% |
| New England score first | 53.8% |
| New York RB score first | 42% |
| New England clean sheet | 25.1% |
| New York RB clean sheet | 14% |
Toronto
DC United
2.0–1.3
xG
65%
Over 2.5
New York City
Atlanta United
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
Cincinnati
2.6–1.4
xG
75%
Over 2.5
Charlotte
CF Montréal
2.3–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Austin
Real Salt Lake
1.5–1.5
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Dallas
Columbus Crew
1.9–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Orlando City
2.7–1.4
xG
78%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Portland Timbers
2.1–1.3
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510366 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
New England are favourites. They win 50.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.2% for the draw and 26.3% for New York RB. Including the draw, New England avoid defeat 73.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest New England win is 2-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.3% of simulations. New England keep a clean sheet 25.1% of the time and New York RB 14%.
The simulations average 3.39 goals: 1.99 for New England and 1.40 for New York RB. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.6% and over 3.5 goals 43.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
