We simulated New York City vs Atlanta United 100,000 times. New York City won 54,728 of them (54.7%), the draw came up 23.1% of the time and Atlanta United won 22.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.6%, while the likeliest New York City win is 2-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 58.6% of simulations.
| New York City win | 54.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.1% |
| Atlanta United win | 22.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.93 – 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | 58.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.2% |
| New York City score first | 61.4% |
| Atlanta United score first | 33% |
| New York City clean sheet | 31.8% |
| Atlanta United clean sheet | 14.9% |
Toronto
DC United
2.0–1.3
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
Cincinnati
2.6–1.4
xG
75%
Over 2.5
New England
New York RB
2.0–1.4
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Charlotte
CF Montréal
2.3–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Austin
Real Salt Lake
1.5–1.5
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Dallas
Columbus Crew
1.9–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Orlando City
2.7–1.4
xG
78%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Portland Timbers
2.1–1.3
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510065 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
New York City are favourites. They win 54.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.1% for the draw and 22.2% for Atlanta United. Including the draw, New York City avoid defeat 77.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest New York City win is 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.6% of simulations. New York City keep a clean sheet 31.8% of the time and Atlanta United 14.9%.
The simulations average 3.09 goals: 1.93 for New York City and 1.15 for Atlanta United. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.3% and over 3.5 goals 37.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
