We simulated Charlotte vs CF Montréal 100,000 times. Charlotte won 63,297 of them (63.3%), the draw came up 19.3% of the time and CF Montréal won 17.5%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.4%), and both teams score in 61.2% of simulations.
| Charlotte win | 63.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.3% |
| CF Montréal win | 17.5% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.4%) |
| Expected goals | 2.33 – 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | 61.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.6% |
| Charlotte score first | 61.9% |
| CF Montréal score first | 34.7% |
| Charlotte clean sheet | 32.2% |
| CF Montréal clean sheet | 10.1% |
Toronto
DC United
2.0–1.3
xG
65%
Over 2.5
New York City
Atlanta United
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
Cincinnati
2.6–1.4
xG
75%
Over 2.5
New England
New York RB
2.0–1.4
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Austin
Real Salt Lake
1.5–1.5
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Dallas
Columbus Crew
1.9–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Orlando City
2.7–1.4
xG
78%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Portland Timbers
2.1–1.3
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510367 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Charlotte are favourites. They win 63.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.3% for the draw and 17.5% for CF Montréal. Including the draw, Charlotte avoid defeat 82.6% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.4% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.2% of simulations. Charlotte keep a clean sheet 32.2% of the time and CF Montréal 10.1%.
The simulations average 3.47 goals: 2.33 for Charlotte and 1.14 for CF Montréal. Over 1.5 goals lands 86% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67% and over 3.5 goals 45.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
