We simulated Chicago Fire vs Orlando City 100,000 times. Chicago Fire won 63,539 of them (63.5%), the draw came up 17.9% of the time and Orlando City won 18.6%. The most likely score is 2-1 (8.2%), and both teams score in 70.9% of simulations.
| Chicago Fire win | 63.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.9% |
| Orlando City win | 18.6% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (8.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.70 – 1.44 |
| Both teams to score | 70.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 59% |
| Chicago Fire score first | 67.7% |
| Orlando City score first | 30.2% |
| Chicago Fire clean sheet | 24.1% |
| Orlando City clean sheet | 7.1% |
Toronto
DC United
2.0–1.3
xG
65%
Over 2.5
New York City
Atlanta United
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
Cincinnati
2.6–1.4
xG
75%
Over 2.5
New England
New York RB
2.0–1.4
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Charlotte
CF Montréal
2.3–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Austin
Real Salt Lake
1.5–1.5
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Dallas
Columbus Crew
1.9–1.4
xG
63%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Portland Timbers
2.1–1.3
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510238 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Chicago Fire are favourites. They win 63.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.9% for the draw and 18.6% for Orlando City. Including the draw, Chicago Fire avoid defeat 81.5% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 8.2% of simulations. Next are 3-1 (7.3%) and 1-1 (6.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 70.9% of simulations. Chicago Fire keep a clean sheet 24.1% of the time and Orlando City 7.1%.
The simulations average 4.14 goals: 2.70 for Chicago Fire and 1.44 for Orlando City. Over 1.5 goals lands 91.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 77.7% and over 3.5 goals 59%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
