We simulated Dallas vs Columbus Crew 100,000 times. Dallas won 47,339 of them (47.3%), the draw came up 24.3% of the time and Columbus Crew won 28.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.8%, while the likeliest Dallas win is 2-1 (9.1%). Both teams score in 64.3% of simulations.
| Dallas win | 47.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.3% |
| Columbus Crew win | 28.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.87 – 1.41 |
| Both teams to score | 64.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.5% |
| Dallas score first | 54.5% |
| Columbus Crew score first | 40.6% |
| Dallas clean sheet | 24.8% |
| Columbus Crew clean sheet | 15.8% |
Toronto
DC United
2.0–1.3
xG
65%
Over 2.5
New York City
Atlanta United
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
Cincinnati
2.6–1.4
xG
75%
Over 2.5
New England
New York RB
2.0–1.4
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Charlotte
CF Montréal
2.3–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Austin
Real Salt Lake
1.5–1.5
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Orlando City
2.7–1.4
xG
78%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Portland Timbers
2.1–1.3
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510069 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Dallas are favourites. They win 47.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.3% for the draw and 28.4% for Columbus Crew. Including the draw, Dallas avoid defeat 71.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Dallas win is 2-1 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.3% of simulations. Dallas keep a clean sheet 24.8% of the time and Columbus Crew 15.8%.
The simulations average 3.28 goals: 1.87 for Dallas and 1.41 for Columbus Crew. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.4% and over 3.5 goals 41.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
