We simulated Toronto vs DC United 100,000 times. Toronto won 52,448 of them (52.5%), the draw came up 23.3% of the time and DC United won 24.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.3%, while the likeliest Toronto win is 2-1 (9.3%). Both teams score in 64.7% of simulations.
| Toronto win | 52.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.3% |
| DC United win | 24.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.3%) |
| Expected goals | 2.04 – 1.34 |
| Both teams to score | 64.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.7% |
| Toronto score first | 54.3% |
| DC United score first | 41.2% |
| Toronto clean sheet | 26.5% |
| DC United clean sheet | 13.4% |
New York City
Atlanta United
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
Cincinnati
2.6–1.4
xG
75%
Over 2.5
New England
New York RB
2.0–1.4
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Charlotte
CF Montréal
2.3–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Austin
Real Salt Lake
1.5–1.5
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Dallas
Columbus Crew
1.9–1.4
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Orlando City
2.7–1.4
xG
78%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Portland Timbers
2.1–1.3
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420509943 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Toronto are favourites. They win 52.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.3% for the draw and 24.2% for DC United. Including the draw, Toronto avoid defeat 75.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Toronto win is 2-1 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.7% of simulations. Toronto keep a clean sheet 26.5% of the time and DC United 13.4%.
The simulations average 3.38 goals: 2.04 for Toronto and 1.34 for DC United. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.3% and over 3.5 goals 43.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
