We simulated Barnet vs Oldham Athletic 100,000 times. Barnet won 56,485 of them (56.5%), the draw came up 22.7% of the time and Oldham Athletic won 20.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.4%, while the likeliest Barnet win is 2-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 59.4% of simulations.
| Barnet win | 56.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.7% |
| Oldham Athletic win | 20.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.4%) |
| Expected goals | 2.02 – 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | 59.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| Barnet score first | 59.5% |
| Oldham Athletic score first | 35.5% |
| Barnet clean sheet | 31.9% |
| Oldham Athletic clean sheet | 13.7% |
Northampton Town
Colchester United
1.4–0.9
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Cheltenham Town
Newport County
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Bristol Rovers
Swindon Town
2.2–1.0
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Chesterfield
Crewe Alexandra
1.9–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
York City
Port Vale
1.8–1.0
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
1.2–1.5
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Rotherham United
Shrewsbury Town
1.4–1.3
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Crawley Town
Tranmere Rovers
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646565 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Barnet are favourites. They win 56.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.7% for the draw and 20.8% for Oldham Athletic. Including the draw, Barnet avoid defeat 79.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.4% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Barnet win is 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.4% of simulations. Barnet keep a clean sheet 31.9% of the time and Oldham Athletic 13.7%.
The simulations average 3.17 goals: 2.02 for Barnet and 1.15 for Oldham Athletic. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.1% and over 3.5 goals 39%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
