We simulated Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town 100,000 times. Bristol Rovers won 65,832 of them (65.8%), the draw came up 18.8% of the time and Swindon Town won 15.4%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10%), and both teams score in 54.9% of simulations.
| Bristol Rovers win | 65.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.8% |
| Swindon Town win | 15.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10%) |
| Expected goals | 2.24 – 0.97 |
| Both teams to score | 54.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.9% |
| Bristol Rovers score first | 66.2% |
| Swindon Town score first | 29.6% |
| Bristol Rovers clean sheet | 38.2% |
| Swindon Town clean sheet | 11.1% |
Northampton Town
Colchester United
1.4–0.9
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Cheltenham Town
Newport County
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Chesterfield
Crewe Alexandra
1.9–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Barnet
Oldham Athletic
2.0–1.2
xG
61%
Over 2.5
York City
Port Vale
1.8–1.0
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
1.2–1.5
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Rotherham United
Shrewsbury Town
1.4–1.3
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Crawley Town
Tranmere Rovers
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646784 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Bristol Rovers are favourites. They win 65.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.8% for the draw and 15.4% for Swindon Town. Including the draw, Bristol Rovers avoid defeat 84.6% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.9% of simulations. Bristol Rovers keep a clean sheet 38.2% of the time and Swindon Town 11.1%.
The simulations average 3.21 goals: 2.24 for Bristol Rovers and 0.97 for Swindon Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.9% and over 3.5 goals 39.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
