We simulated Crawley Town vs Tranmere Rovers 100,000 times. Crawley Town won 40,465 of them (40.5%), the draw came up 25.7% of the time and Tranmere Rovers won 33.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12%, while the likeliest Crawley Town win is 2-1 (8.6%). Both teams score in 58.5% of simulations.
| Crawley Town win | 40.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.7% |
| Tranmere Rovers win | 33.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 1.53 – 1.38 |
| Both teams to score | 58.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.1% |
| Crawley Town score first | 48.6% |
| Tranmere Rovers score first | 45.2% |
| Crawley Town clean sheet | 25.7% |
| Tranmere Rovers clean sheet | 22.1% |
Northampton Town
Colchester United
1.4–0.9
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Cheltenham Town
Newport County
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Bristol Rovers
Swindon Town
2.2–1.0
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Chesterfield
Crewe Alexandra
1.9–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Barnet
Oldham Athletic
2.0–1.2
xG
61%
Over 2.5
York City
Port Vale
1.8–1.0
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
1.2–1.5
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Rotherham United
Shrewsbury Town
1.4–1.3
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646818 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Crawley Town are favourites. They win 40.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.7% for the draw and 33.8% for Tranmere Rovers. Including the draw, Crawley Town avoid defeat 66.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.6%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Crawley Town win is 2-1 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.5% of simulations. Crawley Town keep a clean sheet 25.7% of the time and Tranmere Rovers 22.1%.
The simulations average 2.90 goals: 1.53 for Crawley Town and 1.38 for Tranmere Rovers. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.2% and over 3.5 goals 33.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
