We simulated Barnet vs Swindon Town 100,000 times. Barnet won 69,669 of them (69.7%), the draw came up 17.6% of the time and Swindon Town won 12.7%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10%), and both teams score in 55.7% of simulations.
| Barnet win | 69.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.6% |
| Swindon Town win | 12.7% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10%) |
| Expected goals | 2.44 – 0.95 |
| Both teams to score | 55.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.8% |
| Barnet score first | 68.6% |
| Swindon Town score first | 27.4% |
| Barnet clean sheet | 39.1% |
| Swindon Town clean sheet | 9.1% |
Walsall
Oldham Athletic
1.5–1.2
xG
51%
Over 2.5
York City
Accrington Stanley
1.9–0.9
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Rochdale
Grimsby Town
1.4–1.5
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Cheltenham Town
Fleetwood Town
1.3–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Crawley Town
Shrewsbury Town
1.3–1.3
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Rotherham United
Newport County
1.5–1.1
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Exeter City
Crewe Alexandra
1.2–1.1
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Northampton Town
Tranmere Rovers
1.4–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646821 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Barnet are favourites. They win 69.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.6% for the draw and 12.7% for Swindon Town. Including the draw, Barnet avoid defeat 87.3% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (8.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.7% of simulations. Barnet keep a clean sheet 39.1% of the time and Swindon Town 9.1%.
The simulations average 3.39 goals: 2.44 for Barnet and 0.95 for Swindon Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.4% and over 3.5 goals 43.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
